Natural Alternatives International Stock Analysis

NAII Stock  USD 3.98  0.12  2.93%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Natural Alternatives International extending back to September 01, 1987. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Natural Alternatives stands at 3.98, as last reported on the 3rd of February, with the highest price reaching 4.10 and the lowest price hitting 3.85 during the day.
IPO Date
13th of March 1987
200 Day MA
3.3508
50 Day MA
3.698
Beta
0.343
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Natural Alternatives holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.359. As of now, Natural Alternatives' Long Term Debt is increasing as compared to previous years. The Natural Alternatives' current Short and Long Term Debt is estimated to increase to about 2.6 M, while Net Debt To EBITDA is forecasted to increase to (18.90). With a high degree of financial leverage come high-interest payments, which usually reduce Natural Alternatives' Earnings Per Share (EPS).

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Natural Alternatives' liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Natural Alternatives' cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Natural Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Natural Alternatives' stakeholders.
For many companies, including Natural Alternatives, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for Natural Alternatives International, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, Natural Alternatives' management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
0.3669
Enterprise Value Ebitda
74.9735
Price Sales
0.1829
Shares Float
4.9 M
Earnings Share
(2.00)
As of now, Natural Alternatives' Common Stock Shares Outstanding is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Natural Alternatives' current Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is estimated to increase to about 183.5 M, while Total Stockholder Equity is projected to decrease to under 40.2 M. . The Natural Alternatives' current Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is estimated to increase to 7.95, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 0.16.
Natural Alternatives International is overvalued with Real Value of 3.26 and Hype Value of 3.98. The main objective of Natural Alternatives stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Natural Alternatives International is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Natural Alternatives' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Natural Alternatives stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Natural Alternatives' ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Natural Alternatives International. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Natural Stock Analysis Notes

About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.37. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Natural Alternatives recorded a loss per share of 2.0. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:50 split on the 5th of January 1990. Natural Alternatives International, Inc. engages in formulating, manufacturing, and marketing nutritional supplements in the United States, Europe, Australia, Asia, Mexico, and Canada. Natural Alternatives International, Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Carlsbad, California. Natural Alternativ operates under Packaged Foods classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 389 people. To find out more about Natural Alternatives International contact Mark JD at 760 744 7700 or learn more at https://www.nai-online.com.

Natural Alternatives Quarterly Total Revenue

33.87 Million

Natural Alternatives Investment Alerts

Natural Alternatives appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 129.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.43 M.
About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Natural Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Natural Alternatives' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2000-10-12
2000-09-30-0.04-0.07-0.0375 
1998-11-05
1998-09-300.280.25-0.0310 
1999-11-15
1999-09-30-0.040.020.06150 
View All Earnings Estimates

Natural Alternatives Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Natural Alternatives' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Natural Alternatives' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Natural Alternatives' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Natural Alternatives' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Natural Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Integrated Wealth Concepts Llc2025-06-30
12 K
State Street Corp2025-06-30
11.7 K
James Investment Research, Inc.2025-06-30
10 K
Goss Wealth Management Llc2025-06-30
10 K
Ubs Group Ag2025-06-30
5.5 K
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
1.9 K
Tower Research Capital Llc2025-06-30
1.5 K
Bank Of America Corp2025-06-30
61.0
Royal Bank Of Canada2025-06-30
27.0
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2025-06-30
426.3 K
Caldwell Sutter Capital Inc2025-06-30
419.4 K
Note, although Natural Alternatives' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Natural Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 24.58 M.

Natural Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.09) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.08 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.08.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.10)(0.10)
Return On Capital Employed(0.08)(0.08)
Return On Assets(0.10)(0.10)
Return On Equity(0.23)(0.22)

Management Efficiency

Natural Alternatives has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0202) % which means that it has lost $0.0202 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.1593) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Natural Alternatives' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Natural Alternatives manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The Natural Alternatives' current Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to increase to -0.1. The Natural Alternatives' current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to increase to -0.08. As of now, Natural Alternatives' Non Currrent Assets Other are increasing as compared to previous years. The Natural Alternatives' current Debt To Assets is estimated to increase to 0.37, while Total Current Assets are projected to decrease to under 36.8 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 10.36  10.87 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 10.36  10.87 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(28.20)(26.79)
Price Book Value Ratio 0.33  0.31 
Enterprise Value Multiple(28.20)(26.79)
Price Fair Value 0.33  0.31 
Enterprise Value73.6 M77.3 M
The operational strategies employed by Natural Alternatives management play a crucial role in its market positioning. Assessing these strategies alongside financial data helps us evaluate the stock's investment potential.
Operating Margin
0.0787
Profit Margin
(0.09)
Beta
0.343
Return On Assets
(0.02)
Return On Equity
(0.16)

Technical Drivers

As of the 3rd of February, Natural Alternatives secures the Downside Deviation of 3.69, risk adjusted performance of 0.1037, and Mean Deviation of 3.13. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Natural Alternatives, as well as the relationship between them.

Natural Alternatives Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Natural Alternatives middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Natural Alternatives. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Natural Alternatives Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Natural Alternatives insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Natural Alternatives' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Natural Alternatives insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Ledoux Mark A over a month ago
Disposition of 10000 shares by Ledoux Mark A of Natural Alternatives subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Ledoux Mark A over a month ago
Disposition of 2500 shares by Ledoux Mark A of Natural Alternatives at 16.22 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Kenneth Wolf over two months ago
Disposition of 5265 shares by Kenneth Wolf of Natural Alternatives at 7.4 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Ledoux Mark A over three months ago
Disposition of 5900 shares by Ledoux Mark A of Natural Alternatives at 3.835 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Kenneth Wolf over six months ago
Acquisition by Kenneth Wolf of 9000 shares of Natural Alternatives subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Ledoux Mark A over six months ago
Disposition of 1602 shares by Ledoux Mark A of Natural Alternatives at 15.5 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Matherly Laura Kay over six months ago
Acquisition by Matherly Laura Kay of 7000 shares of Natural Alternatives subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Ledoux Mark A over six months ago
Disposition of 5900 shares by Ledoux Mark A of Natural Alternatives at 3.835 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Ledoux Mark A over six months ago
Disposition of 2500 shares by Ledoux Mark A of Natural Alternatives at 15.65 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Michael Fortin over six months ago
Disposition of 1375 shares by Michael Fortin of Natural Alternatives at 10.35 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Ledoux Mark A over a year ago
Disposition of 5000 shares by Ledoux Mark A of Natural Alternatives at 15.94 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Ledoux Mark A over a year ago
Disposition of 2500 shares by Ledoux Mark A of Natural Alternatives at 15.68 subject to Rule 16b-3

Natural Alternatives Predictive Daily Indicators

Natural Alternatives intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Natural Alternatives stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Natural Alternatives Forecast Models

Natural Alternatives' time-series forecasting models are one of many Natural Alternatives' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Natural Alternatives' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Natural Alternatives Debt to Cash Allocation

As Natural Alternatives International follows its natural business cycle, the capital allocation decisions will not magically go away. Natural Alternatives' decision-makers have to determine if most of the cash flows will be poured back into or reinvested in the business, reserved for other projects beyond operational needs, or paid back to stakeholders and investors.
Natural Alternatives International currently holds 59.03 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.36, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Natural Alternatives has a current ratio of 3.23, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Natural Alternatives' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.

Natural Alternatives Total Assets Over Time

Natural Alternatives Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Natural Alternatives uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

Natural Alternatives Debt Ratio

    
  37.0   
It feels like under 63% of Natural Alternatives' assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Natural Alternatives' operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Natural Alternatives, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Natural Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

71.28 Million

As of now, Natural Alternatives' Short and Long Term Debt Total is increasing as compared to previous years.

About Natural Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Natural Alternatives prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Natural shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Natural Alternatives. By using and applying Natural Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Natural entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.10)(0.09)
Operating Profit Margin(0.08)(0.07)
Net Loss(0.12)(0.11)
Gross Profit Margin 0.08  0.08 

Be your own money manager

As an investor, your ultimate goal is to build wealth. Optimizing your investment portfolio is an essential element in this goal. Using our stock analysis tools, you can find out how much better you can do when adding Natural Alternatives to your portfolios without increasing risk or reducing expected return.

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